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Private equity insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey Report

 

Why fund-level AI activity is not moving portfolio company value

 

Private equity leaders are more confident about their AI strategy than almost any other sector in the survey. Yet measurable returns are below average. This is the AI proof gap.

 

This report explains where that gap is widest and what operating partners need to do to create defensible AI value for portfolio companies before the hold period runs out.

 

Private equity has AI confidence. They aren’t seeing AI returns.

 

Private equity runs on proof. Every investment thesis is tested before capital is deployed. Every portfolio company is measured against targets that determine whether to scale, restructure or exit. That discipline is what produces returns.

 

With AI, that discipline has not yet arrived. Grant Thornton’s 2026 AI Impact Survey of 950 business leaders identified a pattern across nine industries, including private equity: The sector is building conviction about AI faster than it is building measurable results.

 

Across every industry in the survey, organizations are scaling AI without the infrastructure to prove it is working. In private equity, that disconnect runs directly through portcos, where enterprise value is created.

 

Most firms have not yet built the infrastructure to establish proof at the portco level, let alone across a diverse portfolio.

 

The governance infrastructure required to produce measurable returns — and the ability to demonstrate that AI decisions are auditable, defensible and producing measurable value — is where private equity trails the cross-industry average most significantly.

 

 
 

PE leads on AI activity, but not on results

 
54%

of PE leaders cite strategy as a primary driver of AI return on investment vs. 51% cross-industry

24 %

report revenue growth from AI

80 %

are currently exploring or piloting agentic AI

 

PE leaders are confident they understand where AI creates value. More than half cite strategy as the primary driver of AI ROI, three percentage points above the cross-industry rate. Board-level involvement is above average, and 80% are already exploring or piloting autonomous AI. By every measure of intent, PE is leaning in.

 

But results are not there yet. Only 24% report revenue growth. On AI maturity, 45% are still piloting, 11% above the cross-industry rate. Only 5% have fully integrated AI into operations, compared to 14% across all industries.

 

Organizations that fully integrate AI are four times more likely to report revenue growth. PE, with nearly half still piloting, is on the wrong side of that line. The difference is that PE operates on a hold period, and the cost of remaining there is measured in exit value, not annual performance.

 

Private equity leaders say the finance function requires the most focus, enablement or incentives to reach their AI ambition. The conditions inside most portfolio companies explain why. When a PE firm acquires a portco, the finance function is often the first thing rebuilt: a new CFO, new reporting lines and new performance targets. AI is frequently deployed before data definitions are consistent, reporting ownership is clear or anyone has agreed on what AI is supposed to measure.

 

What is missing is governance: the infrastructure that makes AI outcomes defensible and traceable across both the portco and the fund. Without it, the finance function cannot produce the evidence that investment committees, limited partners (LPs) and eventual buyers will demand.

 

“You can’t walk into a portco and mandate an AI deployment. Management teams have their own priorities. What moves them is evidence: here is how AI was used, in a business like yours, within a timeline that works for you. That is where value gets created."

Marc Chase

National Managing Partner
Head of Private Equity
Grant Thornton Advisors LLC

 
 

Scrutiny arrives before governance is ready

 
9 %

are very confident they could pass an AI governance audit in 90 days

7 %

have a tested AI incident response plan

 

Buyers, lenders and LPs are already asking about AI exposure. A portco that cannot answer with documented evidence faces valuation friction that is entirely avoidable. A fund that cannot answer across its portfolio faces the same conversation at a larger scale. Most PE firms are not ready.

 

In PE, governance means something specific:

  • Documented ownership of AI outcomes at the portco level
  • Portfolio-wide visibility into what AI is running, who is accountable for it and what evidence exists that it is performing as intended
  • Ability to produce auditable, defensible proof that AI-driven decisions can withstand the scrutiny of a buyer, lender, regulator or LP

Only 9% of PE respondents are confident they could demonstrate that within 90 days. That is the lowest rate of any sector in the survey and less than half the cross-industry average.

 
 

Additionally, only 7% of PE respondents have a tested AI incident response playbook: defined, owner-assigned and validated through tabletop exercises. PE firms routinely stress-test financial models, simulate downside scenarios and rehearse crisis protocols for operational disruptions. The AI running alongside those systems has no equivalent rehearsal.

 

The governance requirement is not uniform across a portfolio. Healthcare and financial services portcos carry materially higher AI governance risk than manufacturing or retail assets because of regulatory exposure, fiduciary obligations and data sensitivity. And the stakes are rising: 99% of PE respondents are exploring, piloting, scaling or embedding autonomous AI. But it’s without governance.

 

Model drift in a portco's revenue projections, unauthorized data access discovered during buyer diligence and cascading workflow errors during a critical growth phase are the specific failure modes that surface when no one has documented who is accountable or how the system is contained.

 
 

 

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Portfolio companies’ challenges do not have a one-size-fits-all solution

 

The sectors PE holds are not moving at the same speed on AI, and they are not facing the same risks. An operating partner applying a single approach across a diverse portfolio is not managing AI effectively. Each industry — and specific companies across the portfolio — require a personalized approach:

 
 

Technology

Forty percent of technology companies surveyed say they are fully integrating AI across operations, compared with 5% in PE. The risk in a technology portco is that AI is not governed, measured and documented in a way that holds up when a buyer or lender looks closely.

Read Technology insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey -->

 

Manufacturing

Manufacturing is concentrating AI in operations, where returns are achievable within a typical hold period. But only 7% have a tested incident response playbook, the lowest of any sector. AI is running on the plant floor without a rehearsed plan for when it fails.

Read Manufacturing insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey  -->

 

Banking

Half of banking respondents cite governance and compliance barriers as a direct cause of AI underperformance. AI use cases have scaled across customer onboarding, fraud detection and compliance workflows before anyone has defined who is accountable when something goes wrong. The question is whether the governance evidence will be ready when the examiner arrives.

Read Banking insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey  -->

 

Insurance

Insurers report 52% revenue growth from AI, among the strongest in the survey. The governance underneath is fragile: only 24% are confident their controls could survive an independent review. Insurance portcos carry a specific risk: strong returns that may not survive the governance scrutiny that accompanies a transaction.

Read Insurance insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey  -->

 

Energy

Governance barriers are the leading cause of AI underperformance in energy, cited 11 percentage points above the cross-industry average. AI outputs touch emissions reporting, grid management and safety monitoring, meaning the control standard rises with every use case. Boards are asking accountability questions the operating layer cannot yet answer.

Read Energy insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey -->

 

Construction and Real Estate

Construction and real estate boards are approving AI investment at above-average rates while establishing governance policies at well below average. But what works for a general contractor has no relevance for a REIT, and a single portfolio-level approach won’t work.

Read Construction & Real Estate insights: 2026 AI Impact Survey  -->

 

Healthcare

Healthcare was not included in this survey, but it carries higher AI governance risk than most assets in a PE portfolio. HIPAA, HITECH and evolving reimbursement models mean governance failures create compliance exposure that travels directly to the fund level. Governance rigor is required from day one.

Read more about our work in healthcare  -->

 

Retail and Consumer Brands

Retail was not included in this survey, but demand forecasting, pricing optimization and inventory automation are delivering measurable returns within hold-period timelines. The execution gap is data architecture: gains do not travel across an omnichannel business without the foundation to support them. Returns are accessible, but only when data foundations come first.

Read more about our work in retail and consumer brands -->

 
 

The pattern is consistent: The disconnect between AI ambition and governance is real in every sector, but the shape of it differs. The firms that build governance visibility across their holdings are positioned to answer the questions that buyers, lenders and LPs are already asking. The ones managing AI as a single portfolio-wide initiative are carrying exposure they cannot see until a counterparty surfaces it for them.

 
 

Three actions to build portco AI value

 

The firms that will create measurable AI value for portcos are those that build the infrastructure that turns AI activity into defensible, measurable value.

 
Key steps
  1. Step 1: Build governance visibility across the portfolio.

    Start with a documented inventory: what AI is running in each portco, what stage it is in, who owns it and what governance is in place. Classify risk by asset type and regulatory exposure. That inventory is what allows the operating partner to answer governance questions from any direction.

  2. Step 2: Build finance and data foundations at the portco level before scaling AI.

    For every portco where AI is active or planned, ask one question: can the CFO prove ROI? If the answer is no, build the measurement infrastructure before the investment scales: consistent data definitions, clear reporting ownership and an evidence framework that connects AI activity to financial outcomes.

  3. Define where AI creates value by asset class before committing to scale.

    Map each portco's AI opportunity against its specific operating model, margin structure and regulatory environment. What works for a manufacturing portco will not always apply in a healthcare asset. The ones building targeted strategies by asset class are accumulating defensible position. The ones deploying broadly are funding experiments, not building value.

 

Grant Thornton is already embedded in this work across PE portfolios. The result is infrastructure where it matters, an operating partner who can walk into any conversation prepared and documented evidence that AI is governed, measured and delivering. That is what protects exit value.

 

Methodology

 

Between Feb. 23 and March 18, 2026, Grant Thornton surveyed 950 business leaders, a group restricted to CFOs, CIOs/CITOs, COOs, and VPs, department heads, and directors who report directly to the C-suite. The private equity-specific subgroup comprises 100 respondents. Role-specific findings within the private equity subset of data are directional only.

 

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