Grant Thornton survey: CFO optimism continues to fall as finance leaders battle inflation

— 49% have a positive economic outlook for the next six months — down from 57% last quarter

— 60% plan to increase their budget for compensation to manage inflation

— 74% say hybrid model is here to stay, while 61% want people back in office

— 80% cite the increased costs of goods and services as their reason for a negative outlook

— 50% expect to raise prices to mitigate inflation

CHICAGO — A new survey from Grant Thornton LLP, one of America’s largest audit, tax and advisory firms, provides an in-depth look at how chief financial officers (CFOs) are navigating an increasingly turbulent business climate.

Specifically, Grant Thornton’s 2022 Q1 CFO Survey reveals a continual decline in optimism as CFOs take steps to combat inflation. Since September 2021, the percentage of respondents who are optimistic about the U.S. economy has fallen 20 percentage-points to just 49%. Increasing costs of goods and services easily topped the list of reasons for a negative outlook — 80% of CFOs cited this as their main reason. Meanwhile, supply chain challenges, the war in Ukraine and inflation also figured prominently in finance leaders’ pessimism. In response to inflation, 60% of respondents said they are increasing their budget for compensation.

On the positive side, 50% of the more than 270 CFOs surveyed said they believe the economic impact of COVID-19 is waning. And whereas one-third (33%) of the respondents in Grant Thornton’s previous CFO survey (released in February 2022) said they expect inflation to impact their business for more than a year, that number fell to 25% in the Q1 survey.

“Given the aggressive rate hike schedule the Fed is now proposing, many CFOs are hopeful that inflation will begin to moderate,” said Enzo Santilli, national managing partner of Transformation at Grant Thornton. “Still, finance leaders are preparing to grapple with a host of complex challenges throughout the rest of 2022.”

Price hikes gain popularity

Grant Thornton’s 2022 Q1 CFO Survey also showed the lengths finance leaders will go to mitigate inflation. For instance, 50% of the CFOs surveyed said they plan to raise prices. Of those planning to raise prices, 82% expect to increase their prices by 5% or more and over one-fourth (28%) expect to raise prices by more than 10%. This is likely a direct response to inflation concerns: Nearly half (46%) of CFOs expect inflation to have a negative impact on their profits in calendar year 2022. At the same time, over one-third (35%) expect inflation to have a positive impact on their profits this year.

While price hikes and an increased investment in compensation were the two most popular inflation mitigation strategies, survey respondents detailed a variety of approaches. For instance, 38% of CFOs surveyed are changing their debt structure.

“Inflation is not a monolith,” said Sean Denham, Grant Thornton’s national Audit growth leader and the managing partner of the firm’s Philadelphia office. “It really depends on your cost drivers. Services companies are dealing with spiraling wages, and companies that are big energy consumers must address rapid increases in energy costs. But not every market or consumer will react the same way to price increases. It makes sense that companies will tailor pricing decisions based on their costs and their markets.”

Meanwhile, rate hikes from the Federal Reserve drew plenty of attention. Respondents were hopeful hikes will help control inflation in the long run, but over three-fourths (76%) of CFOs expressed concern that those same hikes could lead to a recession.

Supply chain and cybersecurity rank as top concerns

Amidst inflation, production center lockdowns in China, and the war in Ukraine, supply chain disruptions are likely to continue for the foreseeable future. That explains why more than one-third (35%) of survey respondents cited supply chain troubles as a key challenge. But these ongoing disruptions didn’t rank as the top challenge facing businesses. Rather, 40% of CFOs cited cybersecurity as their greatest concern.

According to John Pearce, a principal in Grant Thornton’s Cyber Risk Advisory practice, the pervasiveness of ransomware attacks is likely troubling many companies. Yet CFOs are mostly investing in existing cybersecurity efforts — not new initiatives.

“We’re seeing companies mostly increase investment in existing responses like multi-factor authentication, Endpoint Detection and Response (EDR) capabilities, and enhanced incident response capabilities,” said Pearce.