Midterm Elections-Republicans House Majority

House and Senate seatsMidterm Elections-Republicans House Majority

The legislative heavy work is essentially finished on Capitol Hill, with Democrats and Republicans focused on winning midterm elections to control the House and Senate. Both the GOP-controlled chambers have just a few weeks remaining on their respective legislative calendars, with no plans to vote on any measure that could throw midterm strategies into a tailspin. 

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has made clear he won’t hold votes on additional tax cuts, which many fellow congressional Republicans wanted before November. He is instead focused on passing remaining spending bills, the farm bill and other pending legislation to clear the way for President Trump Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation process. 

Midterms are never good for a sitting president. But this year Democrats have the additional benefit of a voter base highly energized by its opposition to Trump and a slate of progressive candidates promising core voters higher wages and free health care, while trying to uproot the party establishment. 

Republicans are campaigning on their tax cuts and the country’s economic growth. But Trump’s tariffs on China and other trading nations threaten that prosperity and the entire GOP platform.

The president’s involvement in the midterms is another wildcard for Republicans. A Trump endorsement can be game-changer in conservative districts and states, like his backing of GOP Rep. Ron DeSantis for Florida governor. But his backing in recent special elections wasn’t enough to keep Republican-held congressional seats in Alabama and more recently in western Pennsylvania.


Mary Moore HamrickMary Moore Hamrick
Nat'l Managing Principal, Public Policy